Economic growth forecasts reduced slightly

Forecasts for economic growth have been reduced slightly, according to the ESRI.

Economic growth forecasts reduced slightly

Forecasts for economic growth have been reduced slightly, according to the ESRI.

Its latest report predicts GDP will grow by 4.6% this year - down slightly on the 4.8% previously predicted - because of the slowdown and possibility of Britain leaving the EU.

Unemployment is expected to fall to 7.6% by the end of this year.

It also shows economic growth is being driven more by domestic activity, rather than foreign trade.

Research professor with the ESRI is Kieran McQuinn: “It’s ideal to have balance so you have domestic growth as well as externally generated rates of growth.

“So if you look back to when the economy started to recover initially, it was very much through the external trade channels, we regained our competitiveness, this caused to trade more, to export more.

“And that in turn helped us to start investing in the economy and in turn people to start consuming which is what they have done.”

Meanwhile Ireland's unemployment rate will continue to fall both this year and next.

The latest ESRI report predicts that unemployment will drop to 7.6% by the end of 2016 and to 6.5% by the end of 2017.

Kieran McQuinn is a Research professor with the ESRI.

He says many of the new jobs will be in the construction sector: “That’s under a fairly conservative estimate, as to where we think the housing supply level is going to be.

“Of course if housing supply picks up and if we see a faster rate of supply than we actually expect, then that unemployment rate will actually fall quite significantly, because the construction sector and particularly the residential construction sector is very labour intensive.”

more courts articles

DUP calls for measures to prevent Northern Ireland from becoming 'magnet' for asylum seekers DUP calls for measures to prevent Northern Ireland from becoming 'magnet' for asylum seekers
UK's Illegal Migration Act should be disapplied in Northern Ireland, judge rules UK's Illegal Migration Act should be disapplied in Northern Ireland, judge rules
Former prisoner given indefinite hospital order for killing Irishman in London Former prisoner given indefinite hospital order for killing Irishman in London

More in this section

Joe Biden Biden increases tariffs on Chinese imports of electric cars and chips
Construction - digger working at building site on sunny day Large investment funds eye office and data centre projects now interest rates are about to turn
Housing and renewable energy remain key focus for Cork businesses amid election season Housing and renewable energy remain key focus for Cork businesses amid election season
IE logo
Devices


UNLIMITED ACCESS TO THE IRISH EXAMINER FOR TEAMS AND ORGANISATIONS
FIND OUT MORE

The Business Hub
Newsletter

News and analysis on business, money and jobs from Munster and beyond by our expert team of business writers.

Sign up
ie logo
Puzzles Logo

Play digital puzzles like crosswords, sudoku and a variety of word games including the popular Word Wheel

Lunchtime News
Newsletter

Keep up with the stories of the day with our lunchtime news wrap.

Sign up
Cookie Policy Privacy Policy Brand Safety FAQ Help Contact Us Terms and Conditions

© Examiner Echo Group Limited