Harris says ‘all to play for’ in election despite Fine Gael polling slide

general-election-2024
Harris Says ‘All To Play For’ In Election Despite Fine Gael Polling Slide
The Taoiseach said he hoped voters would not judge him on the basis of a criticised encounter with a disability care worker in Co Cork. Photo: PA
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By David Young and Jonathan McCambridge, PA

There is “all to play for” in the general election, Taoiseach Simon Harris has said, despite polling numbers that suggest support for his Fine Gael party is on the slide.

Backing for Fine Gael has slumped by six percentage points, according to the latest poll.

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Mr Harris’s party now trails both Fianna Fáil and Sinn Féin, the Irish Times/Ipsos B&A survey indicates.

Fianna Fáil leads the way on 21 per cent in the latest poll, up two points on the last survey by the paper two weeks ago.

Sinn Féin is on 20 per cent, up one, while Fine Gael is on 19 per cent, down six points since the November 14th poll.

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Sinn Fein leader Mary Lou McDonald
Sinn Féin leader Mary Lou McDonald has been buoyed by recent polling numbers showing her party on an upward trend (Grainne Ni Aodah/PA)

Ireland goes to the polls on Friday.

A Sunday Independent/Ireland Thinks poll published at the weekend still had Fine Gael in the lead, on 22 per cent, however it also recorded a sharp drop in support for the party, down four points on the paper’s last poll.

The Sunday Independent poll had Sinn Féin on 20 per cent, up two points, and Fianna Fáil unchanged at 20 per cent.

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Asked on Monday if he was on the back foot in the campaign, Mr Harris told RTÉ’s Today With Claire Byrne show: “I fully accept that this is a three-race tie.

“There’s three parties all on roughly 20 per cent across a number of published polls. It is all to play for.

“Not one vote has been cast. And I’m humbly asking people to lend me and lend Fine Gael their number one vote, because we have a plan. We have the funding to deliver that plan.”

Mr Harris said the crucial takeaway from the polls was the potential implication for forming a “stable” and “coherent” coalition government post-election.

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The last coalition saw Fine Gael and Fianna Fáil form a historic coalition, with the Green Party serving as a junior partner.

“We don’t need six months, seven months, eight months of navel gazing,” he said of the prospect of lengthy negotiations and wrangling to form a government.

“We’ve got to be able to hit the ground running, whoever is going to be in government, and on these numbers if would be tricky for anybody.”

Monday’s poll, which was carried out between Thursday and Saturday, comes after Mr Harris apologised over the weekend after criticism of his handling of an encounter with a disability care worker while canvassing in Kanturk in Co Cork on Friday.

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The Taoiseach was accused of dismissing concerns that Charlotte Fallon raised about Government support for the disability sector, during the exchanged filmed in a supermarket.

Mr Harris rang Ms Fallon on Saturday and said he unreservedly apologised for the way he treated her.

Ryanair chief executive Michael O’Leary
Comments about teachers by Ryanair chief executive Michael O’Leary contributed to pressure on Fine Gael during the election campaign (Brian Lawless/PA)

On Monday, Mr Harris said he “let himself down” during his much-criticised interaction with Ms Fallon, but was confident that voters would not judge him on what was captured on a 40-second video clip.

“I let myself down,” he told RTÉ Radio One.

“I’m deeply annoyed with myself, and there’s no-one more annoyed with me than me, and particularly on an issue that I feel incredibly passionate about.

“I mean, I have been that 16-year-old teenager who’s watched my own mother cry with frustration at being a mother of a child with special educational needs (Mr Harris’s brother is autistic).

“I know what it’s like. I know what it’s like to be in a family where you feel isolated, where you feel let down, where you fight for services. And, on that issue, of all issues, I am so passionate about it.”

Mr Harris added: “I don’t think fair people and decent people, and that’s what people right across this country are, will judge me on 40 seconds on a Friday evening.

“I think they’ll judge me on my record. They’ll judge me on what I’m going to do over the next five years, what I want to do, what Fine Gael wants to do, and the plans that we’ve put forward to, for once and for all, fix and rectify disability services.

“That is my burning desire. It’s something that I’ve prioritised since becoming Taoiseach.”

The clip from Kanturk is one of several incidents that have put Fine Gael under pressure during the election campaign, including comments made by Ryanair boss Michael O’Leary about teachers, in the first few days.

Mr O’Leary was criticised for saying at a Fine Gael candidate launch that he would not hire teachers to “get things done” , which drew laughs and cheers from the gathered party faithful.

There has also been a furore over whether senator John McGahon should have been selected as a Fine Gael candidate for the Louth constituency.

Mr McGahon was found not guilty of assaulting a man outside a Dundalk nightclub in a criminal case two years ago, but a High Court civil action earlier this year found him liable, and he was ordered to pay damages.

On Monday, Fianna Fáil leader Micheal Martin said addressing issues in the disability sector was a priority for his party.

Fianna Fail Leader Micheal Martin
Tánaiste and Fianna Fáil Leader Micheal Martin (Brian Lawless/PA).

On coalition permutations, he said a government comprising more than three parties would be very challenging to manage.

“I think it would be very challenging,” he told RTE.

“I’ve led with three parties, with the Green Party, Fine Gael and ourselves, and that was complex, challenging, but we did it.

“And I’ve always said, by the way, from the outset of the campaign, that my sense was it would be a three-party coalition government of some form after this general election, it’s very competitive.”

Responding to her party’s ratings in the latest opinion poll, Sinn Féin leader Mary Lou McDonald said she had met “zero per cent of people” with any confidence in Fine Gael or Fianna Fáil’s ability to address Ireland’s acute housing shortages.

Ms McDonald told the Pat Kenny Show on Newstalk: “The great beauty of the campaign is that you get to be out and about everywhere, talk to people.

“I have met zero per cent of people with any confidence in Fine Gael or Fianna Fáil sorting the housing crisis.

“I have met countless people who are chilled at the idea that Fianna Fáil would say out loud they should have the housing ministry again.

“I think people looked at that prospect and said there is no way on God’s green earth that we can tolerate or endure another five years of failure from Fianna Fáil or Fine Gael.”

With regard to the smaller parties, Monday’s poll has the Greens on four per cent, up one; Labour on four per cent, down one; Social Democrats on six per cent, up two; People Before Profit on three per cent, up one; and Aontú on three per cent, no change.

Independents (including the Independent Ireland party) are on 17 per cent, down three percentage points.

In terms of personal favourability, Mr Harris’s popularity is down from 50 per cent to 46 per cent, while Fianna Fáil leader Micheal Martin is on 44 per cent, down one point.

Ms McDonald is unchanged on 31 per cent.

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