With the general election now set for November 29th, three weeks of campaigning have begun before voters head to the polls.
The popularity of the main political parties has fluctuated quite a bit in recent months, with Sinn Féin in particular feeling the impact of its recent controversies.
The latest polling averages show Fianna Fáil making gains to pull closer to Fine Gael as Sinn Féin support sinks further.
The drop in popularity for Mary Lou McDonald's party this year has opened up a path to re-election for the current Government.
Below you will find the latest estimated public support for the main political parties based on an average of recent polls.
Fine Gael has seen a rise in support following the appointment of Simon Harris as leader.
Mr Harris took over Fine Gael in April after a slump in popularity under Leo Varadkar's leadership, with support now averaging about 23 per cent.
Fianna Fáil and the Green Party have remained relatively steady at about 21 per cent and 4 per cent support respectively.
If the Coalition between Fine Gael, Fianna Fáil and the Greens runs its full term, a general election must be held by March 22nd next year.
Sinn Féin has seen support plummet from a high of 36 per cent in the summer of 2022, to about 18 per cent now.
Meanwhile, support for Independent candidates jumped significantly this year in the lead-up to the local and European elections, but has since dipped.
Between the end of October 2023 and June 2024, the estimated support for Independent candidates and other parties increased by around nine percentage points to reach 21 per cent.
Support for Independents fell back over the summer months to now average at 19 per cent.
The breakingnews.ie poll tracker combines voting intention surveys published by major Irish pollsters into one estimate of support for each party. The data is sourced from the Irish Polling Indicator, which is maintained by UCD academic Stefan Müller.
All polls are based on a sample of people interviewed, typically more than 1,000, which is then weighted to be representative of the country.
Listed below are the polls that are currently used to calculate the polling averages.
