China’s exports grow 7.6% in May, beating expectations despite trade tensions

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China’s Exports Grow 7.6% In May, Beating Expectations Despite Trade Tensions
An aerial view of a container port is seen in Qingdao in east China’s Shandong province, © Chinatopix
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By Zen Soo, AP

China’s exports in May grew at their fastest pace in more than a year despite trade tensions, though imports fell short of analyst expectations, according to customs data.

Exports jumped 7.6% in May from the same month last year to 302.35 billion dollars (£236.5 billion), rising at the fastest pace since April 2023.

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Imports rose by 1.8% to 219.73 billion dollars (£171 billion), missing estimates of about 4% growth.

The uptick in exports is also partly due to a lower base in the same period last year, when exports declined 7.5%.

In comparison, exports grew by 1.5% in April compared to the same period last year while April imports rose by 8.4%.

The strong exports caused China’s trade surplus to widen to 82.62 billion dollars (£64.6 billion), up from April’s 72.35 billion dollars (£56.5 billion).

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The growth in exports comes as China faces escalated trade tensions with the US and Europe. The US is ramping up tariffs on Chinese-made electric cars while Europe is considering levying similar tariffs.


 

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Zichun Huang of Capital Economics said: “Foreign tariffs are unlikely to immediately threaten exports; if anything, they may boost exports at the margin as firms speed up shipments to front-run the duties.”

Ms Huang also said that exports would be supported by a weaker real effective exchange rate.

“Import volumes were little changed last month, but they will probably rise soon, with increased government spending supporting the import-intensive construction sector,” she said.

Factory activity in China slowed more than expected in May, according to an official survey released last week.

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The manufacturing purchasing managers index from the China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing fell to 49.5 from 50.4 in April on a scale up to 100 where 50 marks the break between expansion and contraction.

China has struggled to bounce back after the Covid-19 pandemic, as it grapples with weaker demand globally after the US Federal Reserve and other central banks raised interest rates to counter inflation. A slump in China’s property sector also is weighing on growth.

China has set a target of around 5% for economic growth this year, an ambition that will require more policy support, economists say.

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